W2W4: Two-on-Five

Game 5: What to Watch For

— Can Lebron James and Dwyane Wade combine for some absurd number of points? 

Because other than one Mario Chalmers outbreak, the Heat have been very reliant on the two.

Obviously Chris Bosh was contributing a steady points total before his injury, but with the lone exception of Chalmers, no one has stepped up outside of the Big 3 Big 2. Heck, no one is even close to making double digits. The Pacers have to keep LeBron and Wade from scoring 70+ points if the want to win. When Indiana keeps one of those two from going bananas, they will win.

I hate to keep harping back to the point of James/Wade, but I can't think of any team that is so reliant on just two players. Sure, many teams have a trio or duo they expect much of their scoring from, but Miami simply has constructed a team that functions that way. You don't expect Chalmers, Mike Miller, or Udonis Haslem to factor into the game. When two players score 54% of your points and you only have one other player averaging double digit scoring or anything close, you simplify the game plan. It hurts even more when those two players aren't much of post presence. Bring us to our next point.

— Roy Hibbert 
More importantly, how many fouls he gets. The stat ESPN showed today was when Hibbert plays gets into foul trouble, the Pacers haven't won any games in this series. 

Pacers With Roy Hibbert On/Off Court
Eastern Conference Semifinals vs. Heat

Roy Hibbert	On	Off
+/-	+30	-17
Pts per 48 mins	93.8	70.8
Reb diff	+26	-7

Simply put, no one on the Heat's roster can contain Hibbert. However, the refs, or at least fouls can.

When Roy Hibbert is doing this, the Pacers are losing.

— Danny Granger, or Granny Danger?

Granger and the Pacers have stood up to the Miami Heat all series, but Granger has managed to pick up  three technical fouls in as manny games. He's trying to get in James and Wade's head, but the results are mixed. He needs to continue to be in their faces, but he can't pick up the technicals. He just needs to let them know he isn't scared, but he doesn't need to jaw or shove and give away a free throw. 

It may be beating a dead horse, but this game, like the last three, comes down to James and Wade. 

If the put up ridiculous numbers, game on. If one of them can't do that. The Pacers will take Game 5.